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Will lithium-ion battery prices drop again in 2024?

Lithium, nickel, and cobalt, critical raw materials for lithium-ion batteries, are expected to ease further in 2024, contributing to the drop in battery pack prices. BNEF expects average battery pack prices to drop again next year, reaching $133/kWh (in real 2023 dollars).

Why do lithium ion batteries cost so much?

Lithium-ion batteries require specific raw materials like lithium, cobalt, nickel, and graphite. Fluctuations in the prices of these materials impact battery costs. For instance, cobalt's limited supply and geopolitical challenges have led to price volatility. Related:

Can LDEs outcompete lithium-ion batteries in China?

Despite China’s lower costs, LDES technologies there may struggle to compete with lithium-ion batteries produced in the country, which are the cheapest in the world. Only a few LDES technologies, like natural cavern-based compressed air storage, can outcompete lithium-ion batteries in terms of per-unit capital costs today.

Why are lithium-ion batteries so popular?

Lithium-ion batteries have emerged as a leading energy storage technology, powering various devices from smartphones to electric vehicles (EVs) and even stationary energy storage systems. Over the years, lithium-ion battery prices have experienced significant reductions, making them more accessible and attractive for various applications.

How much does lithium iron phosphate cost?

The industry continues to switch to the low-cost cathode chemistry known as lithium iron phosphate (LFP). These packs and cells had the lowest global weighted-average prices, at $130/kWh and $95/kWh, respectively. This is the first year that BNEF’s analysis found LFP average cell prices falling below $100/kWh.

Will long-duration energy storage out-compete lithium-ion batteries?

New York/San Francisco, May 30, 2024 – Long-duration energy storage, or LDES, is rapidly garnering interest worldwide as the day it will out-compete lithium-ion batteries in some markets approaches and as decarbonization plans become more ambitious.